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I am a Ph.D. candidate in Political Science at the University of California, Berkeley and a Research Associate at the Center on the Politics of Development. During the 2016-2017 academic year I will be a Penn Pre-Doctoral Fellow at the Political Science Department in the University of Pennsylvania.
I study comparative politics, political economy and political methodology. My research centers broadly on special interest politics, focusing on the political participation of religious actors. I have also worked on judicial independence and tax compliance. Contact me at: guadalupe.tunon@berkeley.edu Google Scholar Profile CV (pdf) |
Peer-Reviewed Articles
2015. Who Wants an Independent Court? Political Competition and Supreme Court Autonomy in the Argentine Provinces, 1984-2008. The Journal of Politics, 77 (1) (with Marcelo Leiras and Agustina Giraudy).
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Political competition should protect judicial autonomy. A host of studies produce evidence that is consistent with this expectation. The influence of political competition operates through two distinct mechanisms: fragmentation and turnover. Most empirical studies treat them as mutually reinforcing. We explain why each of these effects should be most clear when the other one is inactive: when power is concentrated only the expectation of turnover may protect judicial autonomy; when turnover seems unlikely only fragmentation should prevent interferences on the judiciary. We test these hypotheses using an original data set comprising all justices that served in the 24 provincial supreme courts in Argentina between 1984 and 2008. Results of a survival model with competing risks support our argument. The effect of fragmentation is discernible when turnover seems unlikely. The expectation of turnover restrains incumbents particularly when power is concentrated.
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Other Publications
2015. Graphical Presentation of Regression Discontinuity Results (with Natália S. Bueno). The Political Methodologist, blog and print newsletter.
Working Papers
"Is Paying Taxes Habit Forming? Evidence from Uruguay." (with Thad Dunning, Felipe Monestier, Rafael Piñeiro and Fernando Rosenblatt).
"Design-Based Analysis of Regression-Discontinuity Designs: Evidence from Experimental Benchmarks" (with Natália S. Bueno and Thad Dunning).
